Champions Trophy Qualification Scenarios

Champions Trophy Qualification Scenarios:

 

Group A

Australia

Match left: vs England, Edgbaston, June 10

Two no results have put Australia's run in the ICC Champions Trophy in a state of jeopardy. However, they still have their fate in their hands - beat England and progress to the semifinal is the most direct equation in front of them. If the match ends in another washout, they can progress only if the game between Bangladesh and New Zealand also gets abandoned.

Australia can also progress if they lose to England provided the New Zealand versus Bangladesh fixture doesn't end in a result. In that case, it will be a direct net run-rate shootout between Australia and Bangladesh. For Australia's NRR to remain ahead of Bangladesh, they have to score at least 280 in case they are chasing 300 in 50 overs or make sure that England play at least 47 overs while chasing down a score of 300.

New Zealand

Match left: vs Bangladesh, Cardiff, June 9

After slipping to a 87-run defeat against England, New Zealand have put themselves in a precarious position. Not only they have to defeat Bangladesh but also hope that Australia don't beat England in the final Group A fixture. A loss or washout against Bangladesh on Friday would put an early end to New Zealand's journey in the tournament as their NRR (-1.740) is below Bangladesh's (-0.407) and would remain unchanged if the game ends in a no-result.

Bangladesh

Match left: vs New Zealand, Cardiff, June 9

A timely weather intervention in their league game against Australia has given Bangladesh a new lease of life. They were four overs away from elimination and now sit with a pretty good chance to progress. If they beat New Zealand, they will need England not to lose to Australia. If it turns out to be a no result, Bangladesh can qualify only if Australia lose to England by a margin higher than mentioned above.

Group B

 

The permutations and combinations in Group B are not as convoluted as in Group A thanks to the fact that we have had results in all four games. With all the teams winning and losing a game each, we now have effectively two virtual quarterfinals ahead of us. India take on South Africa at The Oval on Sunday (June 11) and Pakistan will face off Sri Lanka in Cardiff on Monday (June 12).

If both matches are washed out, India and South Africa qualify by virtue of their better NRR. In case the game between India and South Africa gets abandoned, India qualify along with the winner of Pakistan-Sri Lanka game. But if the match between Pakistan and Sri Lanka ends without a result, Sri Lanka will join the winner of India-South Africa fixture.